Tabiri.

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 16% / 19% / 65% for home win, draw and away win.

• Liverpool lost 0-1 away to Arsenal last match
• Fenerbahçe missing Aké, Asensio and Oosterwolde, led by interim coach Kuyt

Liverpool are fair favourites but the price already reflects it, leaving no edge over the market.

Full write-up: Fenerbahçe v Liverpool →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 10% / 21% / 69% for home win, draw and away win.

• Real Madrid on a 6-match winning run
• Odds quotes for Real Madrid varied widely (1.26-1.67) between sources

Conflicting odds data and a price below the 1.30 floor rule this one out regardless of the strong form gap.

Full write-up: AEK Athens v Real Madrid →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 55% / 23% / 22% for home win, draw and away win.

• Dortmund unbeaten in 5 (3W-2D) but only drew Bayern last time out
• Real Betis have won all 3 Champions League group games so far

Betis' perfect European form argues against leaning further into Dortmund, so the fair price stands with no exploitable edge.

Full write-up: Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 46% / 27% / 27% for home win, draw and away win.

• Napoli missing Di Lorenzo, Lobotka, Alisson, Neres, Olivera, Badiashile and Spinazzola to injury
• Porto have only minor fitness doubts (Sanusi, Pietuszewski)

Napoli's injury crisis is real evidence for Porto, but even the maximum adjustment leaves Porto just under the 55% bar.

Full write-up: FC Porto v Napoli →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 45% / 23% / 32% for home win, draw and away win.

• PSV missing Pléa, Wanner, Nagalo and Lammers
• Club Brugge missing centre-back Ordóñez

No side clears 55% even before adjustment, so this stays unpicked.

Full write-up: PSV v Club Brugge →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 19% / 20% / 61% for home win, draw and away win.

• Leipzig unbeaten in 5 straight home games without conceding
• Man City's recent form is reported inconsistently across sources, so treated as unverified

City's price already bakes in their class; the heavy market margin here means no realistic adjustment clears the required edge.

Full write-up: RB Leipzig v Manchester City →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 9% / 15% / 76% for home win, draw and away win.

• Arsenal missing Bukayo Saka (quad)
• Slavia unbeaten domestically, 8W-4D

Arsenal's fair probability is very high but their odds sit below the 1.30 floor, so the market rule excludes this pick.

Full write-up: Slavia Prague v Arsenal →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 31% / 25% / 44% for home win, draw and away win.

• Como beat Manchester United 4-1 in their last Champions League outing
• Lens have lost 3 of their last 6 across competitions

Como's good form is encouraging but their fair probability stays well under the 55% threshold even at maximum adjustment.

Full write-up: RC Lens v Como →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 68% / 19% / 13% for home win, draw and away win.

• Viking missing five players to injury (Baertelsen, Berisha, Bjørshol, D'Agostino, Røseth)
• Sabah reported close to fully fit

Viking's injury list cuts against raising their probability, so the edge needed to clear the threshold isn't justified.

Full write-up: Viking v Sabah →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 43% / 26% / 31% for home win, draw and away win.

• Olympiacos on a 5-match winning streak but missing strikers Yazici (ACL) and El Kaabi (broken tibia)
• Rennes have lost 2 of their last 4 and have doubts over Lepaul and Samba

Both sides have uncertainty; no selection's fair probability approaches 55%, so this stays a pass.

Full write-up: Rennes v Olympiacos →