Tabiri.

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 56% / 22% / 21% for home win, draw and away win.

• City favoured at Etihad, no injury edge strong enough to beat the price

Fair value already reflects City's edge; no gap big enough to clear the margin.

Full write-up: Manchester City v Brighton →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 51% / 24% / 24% for home win, draw and away win.

• Chelsea missing Joao Pedro, Lacroix, Reece James, Gittens; United missing Sesko, Shaw, Ugarte, Dorgu

Both sides badly depleted; no clean directional edge worth backing.

Full write-up: Chelsea v Manchester United →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 59% / 23% / 18% for home win, draw and away win.

• Spurs unbeaten 3, scored in 5 straight
• Palace missing Sarr, Tomiyasu, Riad

Tottenham's returning players and Palace's injury list support a price beyond the raw market line.

Full write-up: Tottenham v Crystal Palace →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 82% / 11% / 7% for home win, draw and away win.

• Barcelona odds below the 1.30 floor for this exercise

Heavy favourites but priced too short to meet the odds-range rule.

Full write-up: Barcelona v Alaves →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 17% / 22% / 61% for home win, draw and away win.

• Atletico have won 6 straight in the league
• Levante missing Bardeli, De La Fuente, Brugue

Form clearly favours Atletico, but the gap needed to clear the market exceeds the adjustment cap.

Full write-up: Levante v Atletico Madrid →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 73% / 17% / 10% for home win, draw and away win.

• Malaga are winless this season, already priced into a short Betis line

Malaga's poor form looks fully baked into the odds already; no fresh edge found.

Full write-up: Real Betis v Malaga →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 28% / 25% / 47% for home win, draw and away win.

• Milan have a recent run of derby success despite Inter's league form

Conflicting derby history undercuts confidence in pushing Inter's price further.

Full write-up: AC Milan v Inter →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 17% / 22% / 60% for home win, draw and away win.

• Udinese winless at home in 6 straight, missing Alaba, Solet, Zanoli, Bayo, Gueye
• Roma unbeaten this season

Udinese's home drought and injury list justify pricing Roma above the raw market line.

Full write-up: Udinese v Roma →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 55% / 21% / 24% for home win, draw and away win.

• Leverkusen have won 5 straight at home
• Stuttgart have 1 draw in their last 12 matches

Leverkusen's home run and Stuttgart's dire away form support a price above the market line.

Full write-up: Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 24% / 25% / 51% for home win, draw and away win.

• Leipzig's form is streaky (W-L-W-L-W)
• Schalke won their last match despite sitting 16th

Leipzig favoured but their inconsistency isn't enough evidence to clear the required gap.

Full write-up: Schalke 04 v RB Leipzig →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 32% / 25% / 43% for home win, draw and away win.

• Both teams have scored in all 7 of Bremen's league games this season, the Bundesliga's highest rate
• Every Hoffenheim match has gone over 2.5 goals

The Over 2.5 Goals market is strongly backed by a perfect-record scoring trend on both sides.

Full write-up: Werder Bremen v TSG Hoffenheim →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 72% / 16% / 12% for home win, draw and away win.

• Bayern heavily favoured at home in Der Klassiker

Odds already short and no edge beyond the market's own heavy favouritism.

Full write-up: FC Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund →