Tabiri.

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 33% / 28% / 39% for home win, draw and away win.

• Arsenal without Saliba and Saka, Dowman suspended
• Liverpool missing five incl. Ekitike (Achilles) and Frimpong

Both sides carry major absences; no selection reaches the 55% fair-probability floor.

Full write-up: Liverpool v Arsenal →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 54% / 25% / 21% for home win, draw and away win.

• Juventus missing nine players incl. Yildiz, Conceicao, Locatelli, Thuram
• Napoli missing six incl. Buongiorno and Lobotka

Juventus' home odds are roughly fair already and the injury list removes any room to upgrade them.

Full write-up: Juventus v Napoli →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 60% / 21% / 19% for home win, draw and away win.

• Hamburg missing six incl. suspended Vuskovic and long-term Remberg
• Frankfurt missing only Ngankam
• The two defences have conceded 33 goals between them this season

Team news tilts further towards Frankfurt, but the short 1.57 price already prices most of that edge in.

Full write-up: Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SV →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 52% / 24% / 24% for home win, draw and away win.

• Strasbourg on a four-match Ligue 1 losing streak with Panichelli, Doukoure and Nanasi out
• Auxerre have improved and sit above Strasbourg in the table

The market price looks generous for a team in a losing streak, which argues against backing the favourite here.

Full write-up: Strasbourg v Auxerre →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 52% / 24% / 24% for home win, draw and away win.

• Marseille's actual last five results were W-L-W-L-L despite previews citing a three-game win run
• Toulouse are unbeaten away this season (1W 3D)
• Toulouse missing suspended Donnum plus two doubtful forwards

Conflicting form reports and Toulouse's unbeaten away record make this too uncertain to back.

Full write-up: Olympique Marseille v Toulouse →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 9% / 13% / 78% for home win, draw and away win.

• Real Madrid have won five league games in a row
• Real Madrid's 1.23 price is outside the eligible 1.30-2.60 range

Clear favourites, but the price is too short to qualify under the odds-range rule regardless of form.

Full write-up: Racing Santander v Real Madrid →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 44% / 29% / 27% for home win, draw and away win.

• Basque derby with no significant confirmed injuries reported for either side
• Athletic priced around 2.16 at home

An even derby where no selection reaches the required 55% fair probability.

Full write-up: Athletic Club v Real Sociedad →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 66% / 21% / 13% for home win, draw and away win.

• Lazio unbeaten in their opening Serie A matches, scoring 2+ goals in seven straight
• Cagliari have struggled for form this season

Lazio are rightly big favourites but the short 1.42 price leaves no room to clear the value bar.

Full write-up: Lazio v Cagliari →

Strip the bookmaker margin out and those odds make it 73% / 17% / 10% for home win, draw and away win.

• Como are fourth in Serie A while bottom-placed Venezia have the league's worst away record

Como are deserved favourites, but 1.30 sits right at the minimum allowed price with no margin left after de-vigging.

Full write-up: Como v Venezia →