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Coventry City v Newcastle United · Monday 12 October 2026

Coventry City vs Newcastle United prediction

England · Premier League · 22:00 EAT · Monday 12 October 2026No bet

The odds

Coventry City
3.15Draw
3.60Newcastle United
2.19

Take the bookmaker’s margin out of those odds and the market makes it 30% Coventry City, 26% draw, 44% Newcastle United.

30%26%44%

Coventry CityDrawNewcastle United

What we found

Coventry 19th with 1W-0D-4L, just snapped a 4-game losing run beating Nottingham Forest
Newcastle have no suspensions; Dan Burn (ankle) and Tino Livramento (hamstring) are doubtful/out

Our call

Newcastle are favourites but only ~43% fair win probability and the draw/away double chance (1.39) implies more than the de-vigged estimate, so there is no priced edge.

Did we bet it?

We did not back this match.
It did not clear our margin, so no slip was posted. The reasoning is above — we only post when our estimate beats the price by enough to be worth the risk.

Also studied that day

Torino v Udinese · Italy · Serie A
Atalanta v Venezia · Italy · Serie A
Levante v Sevilla · Spain · LaLiga

Everything from Mon 12 Oct →

How picks are made

Every morning an AI analyst studies the day’s matches in the Premier League, LaLiga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, the Champions League and the Europa League — recent form, injuries and suspensions, the table, and the bookmakers’ odds.

It estimates its own chance for each outcome and only posts a pick when that chance is clearly higher than the odds suggest. Picks come as singles and doubles, never long accumulators.

Slips are labelled one of two ways. A value pick is one where our estimate beats the odds by a clear margin. A lean is a side we mildly prefer where the edge is thin or absent — published for interest, not as a reason to bet.