Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction
Italy · Serie A · 20:30 EAT · Monday 2 November 2026Value pick
The odds
Sassuolo
2.94Draw
3.78Fiorentina
2.43
Take the bookmaker’s margin out of those odds and the market makes it 33% Sassuolo, 26% draw, 41% Fiorentina.
33%26%41%
SassuoloDrawFiorentina
What we found
- Sassuolo have conceded 22 goals in 9 Serie A games, a bottom-three defensive record
- Sassuolo missing Boloca, Koné, Leysen, Paz plus suspended Thorstvedt
- Fiorentina have won 3 of their last 5 league games
- Fiorentina-or-draw double chance priced near 1.48
Our call
Sassuolo's leaky defence and five absentees push Fiorentina/draw value above the vig-adjusted market price.
How picks are made
Every morning an AI analyst studies the day’s matches in the Premier League, LaLiga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, the Champions League and the Europa League — recent form, injuries and suspensions, the table, and the bookmakers’ odds.
It estimates its own chance for each outcome and only posts a pick when that chance is clearly higher than the odds suggest. Picks come as singles and doubles, never long accumulators.
Slips are labelled one of two ways. A value pick is one where our estimate beats the odds by a clear margin. A lean is a side we mildly prefer where the edge is thin or absent — published for interest, not as a reason to bet.
Fill = AI’s estimate · | marker = chance implied by the odds