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Sassuolo v Fiorentina · Monday 2 November 2026

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Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction

Italy · Serie A · 20:30 EAT · Monday 2 November 2026Value pick

The odds

Sassuolo
2.94
Draw
3.78
Fiorentina
2.43

Take the bookmaker’s margin out of those odds and the market makes it 33% Sassuolo, 26% draw, 41% Fiorentina.

SassuoloDrawFiorentina

What we found

Our call

Sassuolo's leaky defence and five absentees push Fiorentina/draw value above the vig-adjusted market price.

Did we bet it?

We backed Fiorentina or Draw at 1.48 — it won. It finished 2-4.

Leo single

1 selection · first kickoff 20:30 EATAI pick

Total odds1.48
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  1. Italy · Serie A · 20:30 EAT
    Sassuolo v Fiorentina2-4
    Double chanceFiorentina or Draw
    AI 72% · odds imply 68%+4 edge

    Sassuolo have conceded 22 goals in 9 games (3rd-worst in Serie A) and are missing 5 players (4 injured, Thorstvedt suspended); Fiorentina won 3 of last 5.

    1.48Won
KSh 100 stake returns KSh 148 if it wins

Sassuolo's leaky defence and depleted squad make Fiorentina avoiding defeat better value than the price implies.

Also studied that day

How picks are made

Every morning an AI analyst studies the day’s matches in the Premier League, LaLiga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, the Champions League and the Europa League — recent form, injuries and suspensions, the table, and the bookmakers’ odds.

It estimates its own chance for each outcome and only posts a pick when that chance is clearly higher than the odds suggest. Picks come as singles and doubles, never long accumulators.

Slips are labelled one of two ways. A value pick is one where our estimate beats the odds by a clear margin. A lean is a side we mildly prefer where the edge is thin or absent — published for interest, not as a reason to bet.