Sweden vs Poland prediction
International · Nations League · 21:45 EAT · Monday 28 September 2026No bet
The odds
Sweden
2.08Draw
3.50Poland
3.35
Take the bookmaker’s margin out of those odds and the market makes it 45% Sweden, 27% draw, 28% Poland.
45%27%28%
SwedenDrawPoland
What we found
- Sweden won 2-1 away at Romania on matchday 1
- Poland drew 0-0 with Bosnia on matchday 1
- Played at Strawberry Arena, Stockholm
Our call
Sweden are favourites but fair probability sits at 45%, below the 55% floor.
How picks are made
Every morning an AI analyst studies the day’s matches in the Premier League, LaLiga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, the Champions League and the Europa League — recent form, injuries and suspensions, the table, and the bookmakers’ odds.
It estimates its own chance for each outcome and only posts a pick when that chance is clearly higher than the odds suggest. Picks come as singles and doubles, never long accumulators.
Slips are labelled one of two ways. A value pick is one where our estimate beats the odds by a clear margin. A lean is a side we mildly prefer where the edge is thin or absent — published for interest, not as a reason to bet.
Fill = AI’s estimate · | marker = chance implied by the odds